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Burnham is surrounding Reform, not beating it: the coalition of the against and the 2028 deadline
Andy Burnham has not won back Reform UK's voters; he has surrounded the party. The strategy works in the polls, but it defines Labour by its opponent. Because policy takes time to be felt, Labour's real deadline is 2028, not 2029.
YouGov MRP, September 2026: Labour and potential partners 376 seats, Conservatives and Reform 253 · 326 needed for a majority